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신경망 이론에 의한 황룡강의 홍수유출예측에 관한 연구

A Study on The Flood Flow Forecasting of The Hwangyong-River by a Neural Network Theory

초록/요약

This research overcomes limitation of physical model using storage function method that is used in flood routing method of flood forecasting-warning system of 5 basic principle basin of our country. We also developed a nonlinear-model of rainfall-runoff process using artificial neural networks (ANNs) that do not consider to hydrology structure of basin. The results show that the ANN_SA_9 selected in the present study generally well-performed the one-step ahead prediction of runoff in the study area, the Sunam station. Also, base on ANN_SA_9 which have the value of R2 more than 0.95 developed in this search, we can have a higher reliability to operate and manage the water resources and rivers plan more efficiently in the future.

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